CHAN Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-0
Uganda vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UGA
4 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
UGA
4%
11%
85%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 1
SEN
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TAN
1 - 1
BDI
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
1 - 1
TAN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BDI
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BDI
2 - 0
SSD
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |