Uganda vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 5
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
TOG
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
NIG
0 - 3
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BFA
0 - 0
CMR
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BFA
3 - 1
ZIM
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
BFA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MWI
0 - 0
BFA
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BFA
3 - 1
MWI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |