Uganda vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 0
UGA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
UGA
2 - 1
ANG
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
BFA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BFA
3 - 2
ALG
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
4 - 1
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |