Uganda vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NIG
3 - 1
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
0 - 0
UGA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 2
ANG
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BEN
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
NIG
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
0 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |