Uganda vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
UGA
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 0
RWA
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 4
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
COD
1 - 3
ANG
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 0
COD
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
3 - 0
COD
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
COD
1 - 2
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
EGY
2 - 2
COD
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |