Uganda vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
3 - 0
UGA
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 3
UGA
73%
19%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
TUN
2 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
EGY
22%
23%
54%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
1 - 2
BFA
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MLI
0 - 0
GAB
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 1
MLI
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |