Uganda vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
UGA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
3 - 0
BDI
58%
24%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UGA
4 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
BWA
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BWA
0 - 0
MWI
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ZAF
0 - 0
MWI
72%
20%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
COM
1 - 2
MWI
14%
26%
61%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |