CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Uganda vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
UGA
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 1
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
UGA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
UGA
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 1
BFA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
UGA
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 4
CPV
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
EQG
29%
24%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |