Uganda vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LBR
2 - 0
UGA
19%
22%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 0
ZAM
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
SSD
2 - 2
UGA
20%
22%
59%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
4 - 0
CGO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LBR
2 - 0
UGA
19%
22%
60%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NGA
6 - 1
LBR
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LBR
2 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
73%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
0 - 0
LBR
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 0
ANG
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |