Uganda vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
GHA
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
ETH
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
MTN
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
GAM
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |