Uganda vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 2
UGA
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 2
GHA
25%
28%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COM
4 - 0
UGA
20%
26%
53%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CGO
1 - 0
SSD
63%
20%
16%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 6
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
2 - 2
CGO
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |