Uganda vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
GHA
0 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 0
COM
87%
11%
3%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 2
EGY
18%
25%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 0
GNB
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
KEN
2 - 1
CGO
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CGO
60%
24%
15%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 1
ZAM
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |