Uganda vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
5 - 3
ZAM
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
60%
19%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1977 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
45%
22%
33%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
UGA
3 - 1
KEN
57%
21%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1977 |
UGA
1 - 1
IRQ
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1977 |
CMR
1 - 2
CGO
72%
16%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1977 |
CGO
8 - 0
BDI
66%
18%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
CMR
3 - 2
CGO
71%
16%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1976 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
46%
22%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1976 |
CGO
4 - 1
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 6 | 53 | 0 |