Uganda vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
COD
4 - 0
UGA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 1
UGA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
82%
13%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
CPV
1 - 2
RSA
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
BFA
1 - 2
CPV
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CPV
1 - 0
BFA
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GHA
2 - 0
CPV
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2004 |
CPV
1 - 1
COD
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |