Uganda vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 2
GHA
25%
28%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COM
4 - 0
UGA
20%
26%
53%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 0
KWT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
10%
18%
72%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
UGA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUI
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
MOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |