Uganda U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CGO
2 - 2
UGA
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 1
CTA
92%
7%
1%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GHA
2 - 0
UGA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
4 - 1
TUN
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 2
NGA
12%
20%
69%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
NGA
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 1
NGA
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 1
UKR
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |