Uganda Revenue Authority vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
GAD
0 - 1
URA
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
URA
0 - 0
SCV
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
KCC
3 - 2
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
2 - 2
URA
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UPD
0 - 3
KIT
24%
22%
55%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 2
UPD
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
SCV
3 - 0
UPD
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 2
KCC
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
UPD
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |