Uganda Revenue Authority vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
2 - 2
URA
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
URA
4 - 1
AHS
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 0
URA
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
EXP
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
URA
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
MCF
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 1
KCC
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
SCV
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |