CAF Champions 1/16
Global 3-0
Uganda Revenue Authority vs LCS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ZAN
4 - 0
URA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
URA
1 - 0
ZAN
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ZES
0 - 0
URA
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
URA
0 - 2
ZES
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
URA
1 - 0
EXP
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
LCS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 1
LCS
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LCS
2 - 1
JOY
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LMP
2 - 1
LCS
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MFC
2 - 2
LCS
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LCS
1 - 0
BAN
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |