Uganda Revenue Authority vs Gaddafi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 0
URA
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SCV
0 - 1
URA
42%
28%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
URA
4 - 0
GAD
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
UPD
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAD
1 - 2
VIP
37%
28%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
URA
4 - 0
GAD
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 0
UPD
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BPF
3 - 2
GAD
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 0
MFC
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |