Uganda Revenue Authority vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 0
URA
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
EXP
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
URA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
URA
2 - 2
KIT
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
URA
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
AHS
2 - 2
WAK
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
AHS
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AHS
2 - 0
UPD
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 1
AHS
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 1
KCC
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |