Uganda Police vs MYDA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
4 - 1
KIT
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JIN
2 - 1
UGA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 0
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 5
UGA
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
5 - 0
CAL
80%
12%
7%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
MYDA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
OND
2 - 3
MYD
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MYD
0 - 3
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
MYD
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MYD
3 - 1
PRO
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
4 - 1
MYD
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |