Uganda Police vs Lugazi Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+751%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 0
UGA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 1
MHF
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
VIP
2 - 1
UGA
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 2
EXP
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 1
UGA
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 0
LUG
78%
13%
8%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 0
NEC
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
MHF
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |