Uganda Police vs Kitara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JIN
2 - 1
UGA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 0
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 5
UGA
12%
17%
72%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
5 - 0
CAL
80%
12%
7%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
KYE
0 - 3
UGA
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 3
VIP
31%
22%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
OND
2 - 1
KIT
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
KIT
1 - 3
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
JIN
2 - 1
KIT
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BUL
3 - 2
KIT
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |