Uganda Police vs Bright Stars FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SOA
1 - 3
UGA
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 1
JIN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
KCC
3 - 1
UGA
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 2
GAD
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
URA
0 - 0
UGA
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bright Stars FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
VIP
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BUL
0 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
AHS
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 1
BRI
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
WAK
4 - 2
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |