Uganda Police vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 1
UGA
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
5 - 0
BRI
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SOA
1 - 3
UGA
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 1
JIN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
KCC
3 - 1
UGA
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
AHS
1 - 0
VIP
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 0
AHS
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
WAK
1 - 2
AHS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AHS
2 - 1
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
AHS
2 - 2
SCV
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |