UPDF vs Vipers SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
UGA
2 - 2
UPD
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 0
SCV
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SCV
0 - 0
UPD
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 1
UGA
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
VIP
7 - 2
UPD
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vipers SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIP
3 - 1
AHS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BUL
1 - 3
VIP
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
VIP
3 - 0
SCV
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VIP
1 - 1
BUL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
AHS
1 - 0
VIP
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |