UPDF vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
1 - 0
SOA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
JIN
0 - 2
UPD
38%
23%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 3
KCC
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 3
UPD
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
UPD
45%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 2
URA
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
URA
0 - 3
VIP
40%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 0
URA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
URA
0 - 0
AHS
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
URA
3 - 1
SCV
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |