UPDF vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
KYE
1 - 0
UPD
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UPD
2 - 1
BUL
40%
29%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
KIT
1 - 5
UPD
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
UPD
3 - 0
JIN
29%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
LSS
1 - 0
UPD
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -2 |
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
UGA
3 - 0
JIN
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
KIT
0 - 5
UGA
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MYD
1 - 3
UGA
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
UGA
0 - 0
WAK
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
URA
1 - 2
UGA
65%
22%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |