UPDF vs Tooro United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
JIN
0 - 2
UPD
38%
23%
40%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 3
KCC
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 3
UPD
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
UPD
45%
23%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
WAK
3 - 0
UPD
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tooro United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
SOA
1 - 2
BRI
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SOA
0 - 1
WAK
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
JIN
1 - 0
SOA
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SOA
0 - 0
AHS
19%
20%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 0
SOA
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |