UPDF vs NEC FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
URA
1 - 0
UPD
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UPD
0 - 3
KIT
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 2
UPD
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
SCV
3 - 0
UPD
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 2
KCC
29%
26%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
MCF
37%
24%
40%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 3
NEC
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
AHS
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
4 - 1
NEC
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 0
BRI
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |