UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
UPD
49%
24%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 1
UPD
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
UPD
2 - 1
MFC
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UPD
0 - 2
SCV
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
KCC
1 - 0
UPD
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 3
KIT
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 4
URA
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
SCV
4 - 1
LUG
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | 0 |