UPDF vs Kitara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 3
UPD
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
4 - 2
KYE
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 0
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
AHS
15%
19%
65%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
UPD
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
4 - 1
KIT
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 3
VIP
31%
22%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
OND
2 - 1
KIT
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
KIT
1 - 3
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
JIN
2 - 1
KIT
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |