UPDF vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 0
UPD
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 2
WAK
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 0
UPD
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 0
URA
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 4
OND
49%
25%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 0
BRI
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KCC
1 - 2
EXP
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 2
EXP
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EXP
0 - 0
MCF
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BPF
3 - 1
EXP
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |