Thalgau vs USC Eugendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
SEE
4 - 0
UFV
88%
8%
3%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 2
BRA
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 1
UFV
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UFV
3 - 3
STR
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 3
UFV
16%
18%
67%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
USC
1 - 2
GRO
25%
24%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USC
7 - 0
TSV
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SEE
9 - 2
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USC
3 - 1
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
2 - 2
USC
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |