Thalgau vs USC Eugendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
12º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEE
2 - 1
UFV
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
0 - 6
KUC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 5
UFV
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 1
UFV
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UFV
5 - 1
UNI
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
BUR
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
USC
39%
22%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
ANI
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 4
USC
38%
21%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 1
BRA
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |