Thalgau vs Union Henndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
12º
30
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
UFV
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UFV
1 - 2
PUC
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
5 - 0
UFV
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 2
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEE
2 - 1
UFV
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Union Henndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
BUR
22%
20%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 2
UNI
73%
15%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANI
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STR
3 - 3
UNI
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
BRA
23%
20%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |