Thalgau vs UFC Hallein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
12º
63
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ANI
2 - 2
UFV
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
UFV
1 - 2
STR
64%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 2
UFV
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
UFV
3 - 2
PUC
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
UFV
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
BUR
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 6
UNI
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
0 - 2
UNI
6%
12%
82%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRO
26%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ANI
5 - 2
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |