Thalgau vs Straßwalchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
48
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 0
UFV
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UFV
1 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 2
UFV
33%
21%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UFV
7 - 2
BER
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 1
UFV
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Straßwalchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
TSV
32%
21%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 4
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
SKA
26%
21%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
STR
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
BUR
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |