Thalgau vs Siezenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
12º
36
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
UFV
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UFV
1 - 3
GOL
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 2
UFV
45%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UFV
0 - 0
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
USC
1 - 4
UFV
53%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Siezenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 1
BUR
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
SIE
74%
14%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SIE
4 - 1
ANI
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
SIE
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 2
BRA
38%
23%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |