Thalgau vs Siezenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
39
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PUC
2 - 0
UFV
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UFV
1 - 2
STR
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 0
UFV
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UFV
1 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 2
UFV
33%
21%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Siezenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TSV
6 - 1
SIE
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 1
SIE
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
3 - 0
BUR
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
SIE
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
3 - 0
SAL
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |