Thalgau vs Golling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
12º
31
2º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 2
UFV
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UFV
0 - 0
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
USC
1 - 4
UFV
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 3
SEE
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KUC
4 - 1
UFV
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 3
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
GOL
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
ANI
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
GOL
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 0
BRA
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |