Thalgau vs Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
17
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 1
UFV
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UFV
2 - 1
ALT
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
5 - 0
UFV
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
5 - 0
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
UFV
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 6
TSV
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
SIE
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 1
BER
71%
16%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
ALT
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |