Thalgau vs Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
17
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 1
UFV
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UFV
2 - 1
ALT
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
5 - 0
UFV
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
5 - 0
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
UFV
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 6
TSV
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
SIE
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 1
BER
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
ALT
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |