Thalgau vs Altenmarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
20
12º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
5 - 0
UFV
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
5 - 0
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
UFV
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 1
SVS
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 0
PUC
93%
5%
2%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Altenmarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
TSV
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
ALT
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 3
SKA
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 4
SIE
25%
21%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BIS
4 - 0
ALT
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |