Markt Allhau vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
14º
13º
39
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
72.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Markt Allhau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
3 - 1
ALL
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
PIN
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 1
ALL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 3
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 1
ALL
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
RIT
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 3
KLI
19%
20%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
HOR
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
2 - 1
HOR
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |