UFC Maria Alm vs Salzburger AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UMA
0 - 3
PUC
8%
13%
79%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UMA
1 - 2
KUC
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UMA
2 - 1
HAL
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
1 - 1
UMA
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UMA
0 - 2
BER
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburger AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
KUC
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 3
SAL
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 0
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
SAL
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |