UFC Maria Alm vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
UMA
1 - 4
ASK
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
UMA
7 - 2
KUC
21%
23%
57%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STR
7 - 0
UMA
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
UMA
3 - 1
SCL
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 2
UMA
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
PUC
2 - 2
KUC
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
PUC
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PUC
3 - 2
SCL
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 2
PUC
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PUC
5 - 1
WAL
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |