UFC Maria Alm vs Kuchl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UMA
2 - 1
HAL
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
1 - 1
UMA
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UMA
0 - 2
BER
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
7 - 1
UMA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
UMA
1 - 3
WAL
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kuchl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
PUC
1 - 2
KUC
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 4
KUC
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KUC
0 - 1
GOL
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BER
6 - 3
KUC
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
KUC
3 - 2
GRO
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |