UFC Maria Alm vs Golling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
UMA
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 2
GRO
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
11 - 0
UMA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 2
ALT
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STR
5 - 1
UMA
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 1
KUC
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 3
GOL
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PUC
4 - 0
GOL
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 2
BER
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
5 - 1
GOL
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |