UFC Maria Alm vs Altenmarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STR
5 - 1
UMA
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ZEL
2 - 0
UMA
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BIS
1 - 0
UMA
87%
9%
3%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 0
UMA
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Altenmarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
KUC
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 3
ALT
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 1
GOL
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
ALT
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 0
GRO
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |